Benedict Bermange has all the stats for day three as England host Pakistan in the first Test at Trent Bridge
Avoiding the collapse
England lost their last six wickets for just 17 runs having been 337/4. This is their second-worst 6-wicket collapse having had at least 300 on the board beforehand:
The worst ever such collapse occurred to Australia against Pakistan at Melbourne in March 1979. They were 305-4 but then lost their last six wickets for just five runs to be all out for 310.
| Runs | Collapse | Match | Venue | Year |
| 14 | 493-4 to 507 | Eng v Pak | Karachi | 1962 |
| 17 | 337-4 to 354 | Eng v Pak | Nottingham | 2010 |
| 17 | 320-4 to 337 | Eng v SA | Lord's | 1912 |
| | | | |
Mohammad Asif's four lbw's were one short of the record for a bowler in a Test innings, which has been achieved five times. Mohammad Zahid holds the record with 8 lbw's in a single Test - achieved on his debut for Pakistan against New Zealand at Rawalpindi in 1996.
In the previous 20 last-wicket partnerships in which he has been involved, Asif has added an average of 17.05 runs, despite being dismissed for a Test-equalling five consecutive ducks back in 2006. He boasts three fifty partnerships including 53 with current partner Umar Gul in Pakistan's first innings against Australia at Hobart this January.
Andrew Strauss has had the opportunity to enforce the follow-on six times while captaining England:
Enforcing: 4 times Won 4
Not enforcing: 2 times Won 1 Drawn 1
England look like they will end up with a first-innings lead of around 200 runs.
From Test history, home teams with a first innings lead of 200 have a:
68% chance of winning;
4% chance of losing; and
28% chance of drawing the Test.
To have a better than even chance of winning, the home team needs to establish a first-innings lead of at least 93 runs.
For the away team to have the same better than even chance of winning, they need a first-innings lead of at least 115 runs.
The runs per wicket by innings in Trent Bridge Tests stay reasonably consistent over innings 2-4:
| Innings | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| rpw | 34.69 | 31.72 | 30.89 | 31.64 |
| | | | |
Pakistan have lost their last 6 Tests in which they have been asked to follow-on, dating back to Brisbane in November 1995. Going back further, when they scored 537 against Australia at Rawalpindi the previous year is the only time they have avoided defeat in the last 14 times they have followed-on.
But Pakistan are responsible for the greatest follow-on escape of all-time. At Bridgetown in 1958, they were all out for 106 and trailed the West Indies by 473. However, Hanif Mohammad then batted 16 hours for 337 and Pakistan declared on 657-8 in 319 overs to draw the match.
England have won their last five Tests enforcing the follow-on and 11 out of 13 since 2000. The only exceptions were Sri Lanka (537-9) at Lord's in 2006 and South Africa (393-3) at the same venue in 2008.
The last four teams to follow-on at Trent Bridge - including New Zealand here in 2008 - have lost the match.
